Enterprise AI that does the work: your first governed workflow, live in about two weeks.Map your first AI teammate
← The Operating Layer

Module 11 of 12 Β· 2 hours

Capstone: The Twelve-Month Roadmap

One assessed deliverable, assembled from the artefacts you built along the way.

Artefact: The completed roadmap, assessed against a published rubric

Share

The brief

Produce a board-ready twelve-month AI adoption plan for your own organisation β€” or, if you would rather not work with internal material, for Vantis Diagnostics, whose case file is below.

The capstone is deliberately assembled rather than written from scratch. If you completed the module exercises, you already hold every component. If you skipped them, this is where that becomes apparent, and the honest response is to go back rather than to write around the gaps.

Target length: eight to twelve pages. Shorter is better than padded; a board reads the first page and the numbers.

SectionSourceLength
1. Situation and exposureModule 8 advantage thesis, Module 2 evidence ladder1 page
2. Labelled portfolio and no-listModule 31–2 pages
3. Target architectureModule 4 integration map1 page
4. Flagship workflow designModule 5 specification, with gates and failure paths2 pages
5. Governance baselineModule 6 control map, with named owners1–2 pages
6. Vendor decisionModule 7 scorecard1 page
7. Organisational changeModule 9 layer audit1 page
8. Sequencing, funding, metrics, degradationModule 102 pages

The Vantis Diagnostics case file

Vantis Diagnostics is fictional. It is a composite built to exercise every regime this course covers, and any resemblance to a specific company is coincidental.

The company. Laboratory diagnostics group headquartered in Utrecht, Netherlands. 2,400 staff. Three business lines: routine clinical testing for Dutch and Belgian hospitals; a specialty oncology panel sold across the EU; and a US subsidiary in Massachusetts performing clinical lab work for regional health systems. A patient-facing results portal operates in both regions.

The numbers. Group revenue €410m, EBIT margin 9.2%, down from 12.4% three years ago on payer pressure and reagent costs. The US subsidiary is 28% of revenue and 41% of the margin problem.

The pressure. The board has asked for an AI strategy by the end of the quarter. A competitor announced an "AI-native diagnostics platform" at a trade show six weeks ago; nobody at Vantis has been able to establish what it does.

The candidate projects, as they arrived on the director's desk:

#ProposalOrigin
1Denials management for the US billing operationRevenue cycle, with a vendor attached
2Lab throughput assistant reading technicians' free-text rejection notesOperations
3Result triage prioritising which results a clinician reviews firstMedical director, strong sponsor
4Patient portal chatbot answering questions about resultsMarketing
5Automated coding of specialty panelsFinance, on a consultant's recommendation

Known constraints. The US billing system exports once nightly and cannot be queried more often without a licence change. EU patient data may not leave the EU under current group policy. Two payers account for 61% of denied revenue. The two payer relationship leads hold knowledge captured in no system. The trailing twelve-month denial overturn rate is 31%; roughly 4,200 denials a year fall below the appeal threshold and are written off, worth about €2.1m.

What is not in the file. Deliberately: you will have to state assumptions. Doing so explicitly, and marking which ones your plan is sensitive to, is part of what is assessed.

Assessment rubric

Each dimension is scored 1 to 4. A pass requires 3 or better on every dimension β€” deliberately strict, because a plan that is excellent on seven dimensions and weak on governance is not a plan you can execute.

Dimension1 β€” Absent2 β€” Asserted3 β€” Evidenced4 β€” Falsifiable
Placement disciplineEverything is "AI"Steps listedSteps labelled with one-sentence justification per model stepA no-list with stated reasons per rejection
Evidence qualityVendor claims repeatedCase studies citedPilot with a pre-registered metricBaseline, counterfactual and decision rule, held by a non-sponsor
GovernanceNot addressedPolicy referencedControl map with named ownersOverride test performed, result documented, gate redesigned if it failed
EconomicsNo numbersCosts listedTCO at projected volume, all four categoriesSensitivity to a 10Γ— volume change and to a repricing
Organisational realismStructure unchangedTraining mentionedLayer audit completedReclaimed capacity named, with its use and the training-ground replacement
SequencingA wish listOrdered by valueOrdered by value and readiness, with evidence value statedDegrades gracefully under a 40% cut, with manual fallbacks
Four rubric bands, with the jump from evidenced to falsifiable highlightedBAND 1AbsentBAND 2AssertedBAND 3EvidencedBAND 4Falsifiablethe jump that mattersBand 3 shows your work. Band 4 states what would prove you wrong.A pass needs 3 or better on every dimension β€” strength elsewhere does not offset weak governance.
Every row of the rubric makes the same jump between 3 and 4.

A worked example of the difference

Take the economics dimension for the Vantis denials project.

Band 2 (asserted). "The vendor licence is €120k per year and we expect strong returns from improved denial recovery."

Band 3 (evidenced). "Three-year TCO of €640k: €360k licence, €90k inference at projected volume, €140k integration, €50k internal ownership at 0.2 FTE. Against a baseline overturn rate of 31%, the pilot reached 39% on 500 denials, worth €1.3m annually in recovered revenue."

Band 4 (falsifiable). As band 3, plus: "At 10Γ— pilot volume, inference rises to €310k and TCO to €1.02m β€” still positive, but the margin narrows from 2.0Γ— to 1.3Γ—, so volume growth is the sensitivity to watch. The plan assumes the vendor's consumption pricing holds; the contract includes a repricing review at 18 months, and Module 1's cost trend suggests we should expect to renegotiate downward rather than up. If overturn is below 34% at 90 days, we roll back to manual drafting and the €140k integration spend is written off β€” that is the loss we are accepting to find out."

The third version is not longer because it is padded. It is longer because it contains the two sentences a board actually needs: what would change the answer, and what we lose if we are wrong.

How to use the rubric before you submit

Score your own draft honestly, dimension by dimension, and write the sentence that would move each 3 into a 4. Most plans arrive at 3s. The distance between a 3 and a 4 is usually one sentence per section β€” the sensitivity, the counterfactual, the rollback trigger β€” and adding those six sentences is the highest-value hour in this course.

Self-assessment questions

  1. Which section of your plan would collapse first under hostile questioning, and what evidence would fix it?
  2. What is the single measurable claim you are prepared to be judged on in twelve months, and who holds you to it?
  3. What did you decide not to do, and what specific change would reverse that decision?
  4. Which assumption in your plan is load-bearing and unverified? What is the cheapest way to test it in the next thirty days?
  5. If you were replaced tomorrow, could your successor execute this plan from the document alone? If not, what is missing is not detail β€” it is decision rights.

Where to go next

The artefacts you have built are not one-time deliverables. They are instruments with a cadence:

ArtefactReview cadence
Labelled portfolio and no-listQuarterly, as a standing agenda item
Control mapOn every new system, and annually
Evaluation setContinuously β€” it grows with every override
Layer auditAnnually, or on any reorganisation
Advantage thesisAnnually, against its own falsification clause

The course ends here. The portfolio review does not.

Working through this on a real portfolio?Book a 30-minute call and we will label the steps together β€” including the ones that turn out not to need a model.